i just went out and looked at my engine again.
I drained the radiator before removing it, but it is possible that when I took out the heater hose some coolant leaked and ran down the side of the timing cover.
but my original question remains.
based on the oil pattern, does this look like a front seal or a timing cover leak?
there isnt any oil/dirt buildup around the actual seal.
I have a speedy sleeve I can use, and I can change the gaskets while Im at it. I will probably do everything. but its still a mystery to me where the oil is coming from.